Archive for the ‘Misc.’ Category

Midwest home resales post 6 pct annual increase

KANSAS CITY, Mo. (AP) — Home sales in the Midwest increased in September as a soon-to-expire tax credit for first-time buyers and glimmers of an economic recovery brought more people to the closing table.

The National Association of Realtors said Friday that there were an estimated 110,000 resales in the Midwest, up 5.8 percent from September last year. The median sale price for the region fell 1 percent to $147,600, marking the smallest decline in the country.

Nationally, home resales rose almost 8 percent from a year ago, without adjusting for seasonal factors. The median sale price fell 8.5 percent to $174,900, the Realtors association said.

To varying degrees, economists and local housing experts say the federal tax credit has boosted sales. First-time buyers can receive a credit of 10 percent of the sales price, up to $8,000. The real estate industry is pushing for Congress to extend the credit past the Nov. 30 deadline.

“I do think we’re going to see some real solid gains in the third quarter in the Midwest” because of the tax credit, said David E. Clark, economics department chairman at Marquette University in Milwaukee, Wis. “You’ll see that everywhere but especially here in the Midwest where our homes are already very affordable.”

The jobless rate in the Midwest dipped from 10 percent in August to 9.8 percent in September, the only region to show a decline last month. But the rate is still up from 6.4 percent in September last year as automotive layoffs took their toll.

Eight of the 12 major Midwestern cities tracked in the Associated Press-Re/Max Monthly Housing Report, also released Friday, showed annual increases in sales in September while all but three showed median sale price declines. The report analyzed sales transactions in the metropolitan statistical areas recorded by all real estate agents, regardless of company affiliation.

Here are some of the highlights from the region:

— Biggest sales gain: Fargo, N.D., saw the number of sales jump 23 percent from a year ago. Meanwhile, median price declines were moderate, slipping about 3 percent year-over-year to $139,950.

While the city had to deal with devastating floods this spring, it has so far avoided the economic tumult of other markets, said Kimberly Van Hal, a real estate agent with Coldwell Banker-First Realty.

North Dakota’s unemployment rate was far below the national average last month at 4.2 percent, which was only about 1 percentage point above a year ago.

Van Hal said the tax credit has made up a large part of recent sales, especially as the market’s average home price is well within the range of first-time home buyers.

“We really picked up speed and have been a very active market since early summer,” she said.

— Biggest sales loss: Sales in Cleveland, Ohio, were the worst in the region, falling almost 12 percent from a year ago. The median sales price, however, was stable, gaining almost 2 percent to $116,000.

The manufacturing-heavy city has suffered numerous plant closures and layoffs in recent years. Last month, the state lost about 6,000 jobs but its unemployment rate actually improved, which experts said came from discouraged workers leaving the work force.

Paul Hazlett, a Century 21 agent in the Cleveland suburb of Middleburg Heights, said homes still sell quickly if they’re not overpriced but a lot of sellers remain unrealistic. He has a contract pending on a home where the sales price is $15,000 below what the owner paid two years ago.

“On the west side of Cleveland, I’ve almost given up on the area because I get tired of people getting mad at me when I say what I think their property is worth,” Hazlett said.

— Biggest price gain: Indianapolis led the region with the median sale price tiptoeing forward more than 4 percent year-over-year to $120,000. Overall sales, however, continued to fall, declining almost 10 percent from September 2008.

Sharron Hill, with Hill & Associates in suburban Indianapolis, said the market has not seen much permanent appreciation in home values because of an uptick in foreclosed homes and what she considers poor appraisals. A recent appraisal reduced the value of one of her listings by $20,000, which she blamed on lenders overcorrecting for the mistakes that led to the housing bubble.

“Changes in the mortgage industry in the last 8 to 12 months is hurting the real estate industry more than anything,” she said.

She said sales have also struggled but would be far worse without the tax credit bringing new people into the market.

— Biggest price decline: Detroit continued to lead in an unfortunate trend as the median sale price dropped almost 22 percent from a year ago to $65,000. The lower prices have brought in investors and bargain-hunters, however, and sales rose more than 3 percent last month.

The city, hammered by losses in its key automotive industry, has seen massive numbers of foreclosures and distressed sales, which typically sell at a significant discount and make it virtually impossible for conventional sellers to get anywhere near what they want for their homes. Michigan has also struggled with job losses, posting the nation’s highest unemployment rate of 15.3 percent last month.

Thomas Bush of Real Estate One in Shelby Township, Mich., a Detroit suburb, said he estimates fewer than 10 percent of homes going on the market these days are conventional sales and prices are back to 20-year lows.

“I don’t think we’ve seen what the auto problems are doing to the market in Detroit,” he said. “We’re seeing the effects of bad mortgages, bad choices. What happens when all the other stuff comes?”

— Inventory highlight: The number of unsold homes fell in every Midwestern city last month from a year ago, according to the AP-Re/Max report. Indianapolis, Detroit and Cleveland led the region, with inventory drops of more than 29 percent each. Wichita, Kan., had the smallest, shaving just 0.2 percent off its backlog.

Housing experts say reducing the existing inventory of unsold homes is key to sustaining a resurgence in home prices.

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The Good, the Bad & the Ugly

The Good, the Bad & the Ugly

THE GOOD

Sales numbers for our Topeka Area REALTORS Association’s transactions for the first three quarters of 2009 have been published and there is cause for celebration if you are a homeowner in our area! The great news for our area is that our home prices have remained stable, if not increased compared to prior years. In fact, the median price of homes selling so far this year ($111,550) is about 3% over last year and about 4.5% over the top sales year of 2006. Now that great news will never be on the TODAY show, but that should be the headlines in our local news shows.

THE BAD

The number of homes sold in our area for the first three quarters of the year (1912) is almost 14% less than last year and 31% less than the magical year of 2006. Well frankly, that’s worse news for REALTORS than for home owners. REALTORS want to see more transactions because that means we earn more. But for homeowners, the decline in sales in our area is more due to a decline in supply and demand. Fewer buyers; fewer sellers; lower inventories of homes for sale: makes for a balanced market stabilizing home prices that has also been lacking the areas of the country reported on by our media. Even the Bad News isn’t that bad for homeowners.

THE UGLY

It is too cold too early! Don’t forget to unhook your garden hoses from the outdoor faucets. One night a freeze is going to sneak up on us and we sure want to avoid that call to the plumber!

Bryon R. Schlosser, CEO

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Ringgold attends prestigious Global Management Summit

Ringgold attends prestigious Global Management Summit

Picture – John with President and CEO of Coldwell Banker, Jim Gillespie

(Topeka, Kansas) – John RInggold of Topeka, a Supervising Broker with the Fairlawn of Coldwell Banker Griffith & Blair American Home, attended the 9th annual Coldwell Banker® Global Management Summit held recently at the Hyatt Regency Century City in Los Angles on October 12-14.

John was one of several hundred select Coldwell Banker brokers, owners and managers from the Coldwell Banker system who attended the event. Attendees heard from keynote speaker Bonnie St. John, a noted Paralympics skiing medalist, who delivered an inspirational message on overcoming adversity. Steve Murray, editor of real estate trade publication RealTrends, also keynoted on the changing dynamics of the housing industry.

The Global Management Summit offered attendees more than 30 educational sessions or Management Success Modules, networking opportunities, panel discussions and first hand access to the corporation’s proprietary systems, tools and programs.

“The real estate market has presented challenges for consumers and professionals alike,” said Jim Gillespie, president and chief executive officer, Coldwell Banker Real Estate LLC. “Attendees spent a great deal of time looking at the state of the market today and how to be ready for tomorrow. The consumer will demand even more from real estate professionals as time goes on and it is critical for Coldwell Banker to continue to evolve in technology and service to meet their needs.”

“The Global Management Summit provided me with a chance to exchange ideas with other professionals and learn new ways to improve our customers’ real estate experience,” Ringgold said. “We spent a great deal of time with colleagues and focused on the importance of resiliency in our business and how to continue to meet the needs of our clients.

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Good news in real estate!

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How to clean and repair gutters

Cleaning roof gutters is a small task that can prevent big problems. Follow these simple steps for cleaning your homes gutters and making simple gutter repairs.

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What’s the history of your house?

Curious about the history of the house you live in? Find out how to get an idea of your house’s history in this Two Minute Expert video from This Old House.

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Top 5 Remodeling Mistakes

This “Two Minute Expert” video from This Old House helps you avoid some of the most common remodeling mistakes homeowners make when updating their home.

Remember that if you remodeling because you are thinking of increasing your profit when you put your home on the Topeka real estate market, talk to your REALTOR first. Many projects will not pay you back 100% of your money invested over the short term.

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Quick Take: Mortgage Rates and Oil Prices

(Note from John Ringgold, Broker at Coldwell Banker Griffith & Blair – It looks like mortgage rates my be rising in the near future. This information may be a bit dry and doesn’t affect only Topeka real estate but the national real estate market. Make sure you read the “What does this data mean” section)

lawrence-yun
Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist for the National Association of REALTORS

Mortgage Rates

According to Bankrate.com this Monday the average 30-year fixed rate is being quoted at 4.98 percent. That is higher than the weekly survey from Freddie Mac and from Bankrate’s daily figures of the past 3 weeks, which had been right near the 4.8 percent range. The 20 basis point rise is minor, but nonetheless signals that the mortgage rates, despite heavy Federal Reserve meddling, can still rise.

The 10-year Treasury yield is above 4.2 percent and reached 4.3 percent at the end of last week. It had been under 4 percent for most of 2009. Because mortgage rates are priced off of the 10-year Treasury, the rise in government borrowing costs puts upward pressure on mortgage rates.

Oil Price

Oil prices have been moving up as well. Up from about $50 per barrel, the price reached close to $60 last week.

Rising energy prices will lead to higher headline inflation figures in a few months. The core inflation (excluding energy and food prices) is likely to trend down because of excess slack in the economy. However, the headline figure could dominate the discussion about whether the U.S. is headed for an inflationary or deflationary period as we move into 2010.

Interest rates always rise when inflation expectations rise. The recent rise in the Treasury could partly be reflecting potential inflationary pressure. There is absolutely no inflationary pressure in 2009 (in fact the NAR forecast is for an 0.8 percent decline in the consumer price index in 2009), but that does not mean we will not face inflation in a few years given that so much printed money has been put into the economy.

What does today’s data mean for REALTORS® and consumers?

Do not think that mortgage rates will remain under 5 percent because of heavy government involvement. The rates may rise or fall from the current levels. Despite all the efforts by the Federal Reserve, there is no guarantee that mortgage rates will fall, because bond investors can easily negate that policy prescription if inflation is expected.

If oil prices rise to $70 or $80 per barrel, then mortgage rates could be rising. Energy price movements could be the catalysts in where the consumer prices will go in 2010 and beyond.

Daily Forecast Update

NAR’s monthly official forecast as of May 4th

GDP Q2: – 1.7%

GDP Q3: +0.2%

GDP Q4: +0.8%

Unemployment rate by the end of 2009: 10.5%

Average 30-year fixed mortgage rate by the end of 2009: 5.3%

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